Thursday, February 19, 2015

MBL POWER RANKINGS - 2/19/2015


Each team has played at least 30 games for the year, so we're at about the 20% mark on the season.  Time for another look at the Power Rankings.  A lot of movement in this edition.  Some teams are trending upward, while others have slumped badly.  And a surprise change at the top as the Beaneaters are knocked off their perch atop the standings for the first time this season.  Here are how the teams graded out this time around:

RNK +/- TEAM BAT PIT FLD PCT rDiff PYTH xW xL LUCK
1 1
New York Rippers
9 2 2
0.727
55
0.690 23 10 1
2 (1)
Boston Beaneaters
2 1 16
0.758
85
0.738 24 9 1
3 7
Washington Tribe
4 6 17
0.733
62
0.688 21 9 1
4 5
Colorado Briar Jumpers
12 3 10
0.633
46
0.660 20 10 (1)
5 6
Baltimore Stouts
1 10 21
0.667
51
0.622 22 14 2
6 (3)
Detroit Buckeyes
3 16 3
0.556
31
0.575 21 15 (1)
7 5
Oakland Osprey
6 8 19
0.556
37
0.601 22 14 (2)
8 10
San Francisco Quakers
18 7 9
0.556
10
0.530 19 17 1
9 10
Miami Panthers
11 9 19
0.485
1
0.503 17 16 (1)
10 (6)
Houston Buffaloes
8 14 14
0.533
8
0.526 16 14 0
11 (4)
Minnesota Millers
24 3 5
0.485
8
0.529 17 16 (1)
12 (6)
Arizona Apaches
14 13 4
0.515
(12)
0.465 15 18 2
13 7
Washington Senators
10 12 18
0.467
(2)
0.494 15 15 (1)
14 0
Seattle Lightning
22 5 13
0.533
10
0.538 16 14 (0)
15 2
Milwaukee Phantoms
13 23 1
0.424
(29)
0.422 14 19 0
16 (3)
Atlanta Stonecutters
15 19 8
0.455
(21)
0.438 14 19 1
17 (2)
San Diego Vipers
21 10 7
0.455
(22)
0.433 14 19 1
18 (2)
St. Louis Sliders
7 18 23
0.424
(32)
0.417 14 19 0
19 4
Brooklyn BA Bums
17 17 12
0.394
(23)
0.434 14 19 (1)
20 (15)
Pittsburgh Crawfords
5 21 24
0.389
(32)
0.426 15 21 (1)
21 3
New York Bombers
20 15 15
0.361
(33)
0.405 15 21 (2)
22 (1)
Los Angeles Diablos
19 22 11
0.303
(42)
0.380 13 20 (3)
23 (15)
Cincinnati Red Stockings
16 20 21
0.367
(36)
0.393 12 18 (1)
24 (2)
Cleveland Rock 'N Rollers
23 24 5
0.242
(120)
0.237 8 25 0

GLOSSARY
RNK - Overall Power Ranking
+/- - Difference between this ranking and the team's last ranking
BAT - Batting Rank
PIT - Pitching Rank
FLD - Fielding Rank
PCT - Actual Win Percentage
rDIFF - Run Differential
PYTH - Expected Win Percentage
xW - Expected Wins
xL - Expected Losses
LUCK - Difference between actual wins and expected wins

Observations:
  • Obviously a change at the top as the New York Rippers supplant division rival Boston Beaneaters for the #1 spot.  While Boston has done nothing to really lose their grip on the top spot, grading out as the top pitching team and second best hitting team, the Rippers are more well rounded.  New York is the only team to crack the top-10 in all three categories.   They lead the league in stolen bases by a wide margin, and are also adept at gunning down opposing runners, butting down eight of 20 would-be thieves.
  • Another thing that instantly jumps out to me is the decline of both the Pittsburgh Crawfords and Cincinnati Red Stockings, both teams dropping a whopping 15 spots in the rankings.  Pittsburgh has went 2-13 since the last rankings, while Cincinnati has failed to win a game, dropping nine straight.  The Crawfords still grade out as the 5th best offensive squad, but they rank dead last in team fielding and 21st in pitching.  The Red Stocking rank in the bottom 10 in all three categories.
  • On the flip side, both the San Francisco Quakers and the Miami Panthers have improved 10 spots in the rankings.  San Fran is beginning to play some good ball, going 10-5 since the last rankings.  Miami is an odd case though.  They actually have a losing record since the last rankings, going only 5-7.  But they grade out in the top-11 in both the hitting and pitching categories.
  • The Minnesota Millers are arguably the league's most disappointing team to date.  They sat atop the league in the preseason rankings.  But the team has not found it's hitting stroke, ranking dead last in hitting, averaging only 4.3 runs per game.  That number is sure to improve.  When it does, the Millers will be a tough team to play as they currently grade out as the 3rd best pitching team and the 5th best fielding squad.
  • The league's unluckiest team to date is the Los Angelas Diablos.  They come in at 22nd in the rankings, but their Pythagorean Win/Loss % says they should have won three more games than they have to date.  Not that the change would put them in the playoff hunt, but still.
  • Conversely, the Baltimore Stouts and Arizona Apaches are the luckiest teams so far, both winning two more games than they "should" have.
  • Speaking of Baltimore, they jumped six spots in the standing behind their #1 ranking offensively.  The Stouts lead the league in runs per game (6.4), home runs (67), batting average (.295), on-base percentage (.372), slugging percentage (.518) and OPS (.890).  They also grade out 4th on the basebaths, swiping 21 bags while only being caught four times.
  • The highest rated team from the Expansion League is the MBL defending champion, the Colorado Briar Jumpers.  They've went 8-4 since the last edition of the rankings and currently sit atop the Western Division by three games.  The team grades out well in all categories, ranking in the top-12 in all three.  Their pitching been their brightest spot, ranking 3rd overall, 2nd in WHIP and 3rd in team ERA.
  • The Cleveland Rock 'N Rollers come in at the bottom of the rankings.  The team grades out as the 23rd ranked offense and worst overall in pitching.  Their team ERA of 7.70 is two full runs worse than their next closest competitor, and four-and-a-half runs worse than league leading New York.
  • The Expansion's Pacific Division still has all four teams ranked in the top-10 in pitching (SEA 5, SF 7, OAK 8, SD 10).

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